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Red18
478832.1
99886.9
92758.8
Blue43
711319.9
930813.6
998516.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4414060801001201401843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.12.2
31.829.6
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
red by 12.2
19.90.9
13.114.1
Auto0.9
Teleop18.9
End0.1
Second
9275
#15
8.83.4
11.17.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 7.9
9985
#10
16.71.0
10.311.3
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Third
9988
#16
6.93.7
3.3-0.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
blue by 6.7
13.61.0
10.411.5
Auto1.9
Teleop11.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
9%Activation oddsMissed12%Activation oddsMissed