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Red44
999116.4
919018.7
919119.8
Blue66
478832.1
998611.7
652415.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2435060801001201401604466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.0
17.917.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
blue by 12.3
32.11.5
28.029.5
Auto6.3
Teleop24.4
End1.3
Second
18.70.0
14.314.4
Auto2.3
Teleop16.0
End0.4
red by 3.5
15.32.0
9.011.0
Auto1.2
Teleop14.0
End0.1
Third
16.40.0
11.411.4
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End-0.5
red by 4.7
9986
#12
11.72.0
6.88.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsMissed7%Activation oddsMissed