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Red13
99886.9
92758.8
99896.1
Blue21
998516.7
919119.8
999013.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294102060801001201321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9275
#15
8.81.9
10.28.3
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End0.2
blue by 11.0
19.81.1
19.518.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Second
9988
#16
6.91.9
8.66.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.2
End-1.0
blue by 9.7
9985
#10
16.71.8
8.26.5
Auto1.8
Teleop15.4
End-0.5
Third
9989
#14
6.11.9
11.49.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End-0.2
blue by 7.8
13.91.8
9.27.4
Auto1.9
Teleop12.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed31%Activation oddsMissed