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Qual 12023 Arizona West Regional
Red89
665620.9
683328.0
519956.9
Blue111
696831.2
647932.7
49843.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10184406012014016089111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#1
56.90.2
49.7→49.5
Auto12.3
Teleop35.3
End9.2
red by 13.8
498
#4
43.01.7
35.9→37.6
Auto11.8
Teleop22.2
End9.1
Second
6833
#18
28.00.3
25.4→25.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End7.5
blue by 4.7
6479
#8
32.71.9
21.9→23.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Third
6656
#30
20.90.4
17.1→16.7
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End7.2
blue by 10.3
6968
#7
31.21.7
23.2→24.8
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned