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Red123
519956.9
394429.8
301917.8
Blue77
186846.7
665620.9
357716.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9663020408012014016012377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.92.5
50.553.0
Auto12.3
Teleop35.3
End9.2
red by 10.2
46.70.6
33.534.1
Auto14.9
Teleop23.3
End8.4
Second
3944
#13
29.84.1
24.028.1
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End6.7
red by 8.8
6656
#30
20.91.0
13.314.3
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End7.2
Third
3019
#37
17.82.5
11.614.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End6.4
red by 0.9
3577
#33
16.81.0
16.317.3
Auto8.3
Teleop0.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned