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Red79
301917.8
247827.9
456521.3
Blue120
884828.2
770316.2
49843.0
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58103020408012014016079120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#19
27.91.3
27.428.6
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
blue by 15.1
498
#4
43.01.0
40.641.5
Auto11.8
Teleop22.2
End9.1
Second
4565
#21
21.31.3
18.720.0
Auto9.1
Teleop4.7
End7.6
blue by 6.9
8848
#20
28.21.5
33.735.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.8
End6.6
Third
3019
#37
17.81.3
13.915.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End6.4
red by 1.6
7703
#34
16.21.5
16.317.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned