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Red50
612717.9
742633.3
418325.2
Blue114
513724.1
635230.7
683328.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858202004006008001,0001,20050114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.32.0
34.032.0
Auto11.8
Teleop13.4
End8.0
red by 2.6
6352
#16
30.72.3
30.733.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
Second
4183
#14
25.22.0
24.022.1
Auto7.4
Teleop9.9
End8.0
blue by 2.8
6833
#18
28.01.5
28.429.8
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End7.5
Third
6127
#26
17.93.1
21.418.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.7
End4.2
blue by 6.3
5137
#10
24.11.5
18.119.5
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned