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Red87
553919.8
696831.2
635230.7
Blue114
641343.0
513724.1
418325.2
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878220406010012014016087114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.4
29.830.2
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End5.9
blue by 11.8
43.02.4
35.938.3
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End7.1
Second
6352
#16
30.70.6
33.033.5
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
red by 5.4
4183
#14
25.22.4
22.124.5
Auto7.4
Teleop9.9
End8.0
Third
5539
#32
19.80.6
18.419.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.1
End6.0
blue by 4.3
5137
#10
24.12.4
19.522.0
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsEarned