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Red120
240339.5
641343.0
357716.8
Blue112
69825.0
513724.1
186846.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8889808595100105110115120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.02.5
38.340.8
Auto14.6
Teleop21.2
End7.1
blue by 3.7
46.71.9
39.641.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.3
End8.4
Second
39.52.5
31.934.4
Auto16.8
Teleop14.1
End8.7
red by 14.5
698
#29
25.02.6
21.524.1
Auto10.0
Teleop10.6
End4.4
Third
3577
#33
16.83.3
12.315.7
Auto8.3
Teleop0.9
End7.6
blue by 7.3
5137
#10
24.11.9
22.023.9
Auto6.9
Teleop11.9
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsEarned