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Red83
418325.2
247827.9
770316.2
Blue104
519956.9
392520.1
647932.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63100020408012014016083104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#19
27.91.3
27.028.2
Auto7.5
Teleop15.2
End5.2
blue by 29.0
56.91.0
49.550.5
Auto12.3
Teleop35.3
End9.2
Second
4183
#14
25.21.4
21.222.7
Auto7.4
Teleop9.9
End8.0
blue by 7.5
32.71.0
23.824.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End8.4
Third
7703
#34
16.22.1
15.717.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
blue by 3.9
3925
#36
20.11.2
15.817.0
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed80%Activation oddsEarned