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Red111
116522.5
49843.0
519956.9
Blue77
694725.7
418325.2
635230.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137815010015020011177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.2
56.556.3
Auto12.3
Teleop35.3
End9.2
red by 26.2
6352
#16
30.70.1
31.130.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.8
End8.4
Second
498
#4
43.00.2
42.642.4
Auto11.8
Teleop22.2
End9.1
red by 17.3
6947
#11
25.70.1
26.125.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.9
End9.5
Third
1165
#31
22.50.2
22.121.9
Auto11.6
Teleop6.2
End4.8
blue by 2.7
4183
#14
25.20.1
25.625.4
Auto7.4
Teleop9.9
End8.0