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Red119
998815.2
647933.2
116525.8
Blue90
456525.2
770316.0
49841.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6390015020025030011990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.22.4
32.735.1
Auto9.7
Teleop14.2
End9.3
blue by 7.7
498
#15
41.00.9
40.241.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.9
End8.9
Second
25.82.4
22.124.5
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End5.8
red by 0.6
4565
#14
25.20.9
23.624.4
Auto9.4
Teleop7.1
End8.8
Third
9988
#16
15.24.0
18.022.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End3.5
blue by 0.8
7703
#18
16.00.9
13.314.2
Auto2.7
Teleop7.9
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned