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Red78
998513.6
641338.6
998626.2
Blue69
905914.9
248635.6
418322.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598601502002503007869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.1
36.536.6
Auto9.8
Teleop21.1
End7.7
red by 3.0
35.60.4
37.136.7
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
26.20.1
22.823.0
Auto9.0
Teleop9.6
End7.5
red by 3.4
4183
#20
22.80.4
21.521.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End8.2
Third
9985
#17
13.60.1
12.412.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End4.1
blue by 1.3
9059
#22
14.90.4
15.715.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsEarned11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned