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Red73
998626.2
999118.2
49841.0
Blue23
998513.6
775514.4
999211.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions702304060801001201401607323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
41.00.5
45.044.5
Auto10.3
Teleop21.9
End8.9
red by 26.6
7755
#13
14.41.4
12.511.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.8
End6.0
Second
26.20.8
17.917.1
Auto9.0
Teleop9.6
End7.5
red by 12.6
9985
#17
13.62.3
12.910.6
Auto1.3
Teleop8.1
End4.1
Third
9991
#12
18.20.8
17.316.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.8
End8.8
red by 6.7
9992
#21
11.52.3
18.616.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsEarned11%Activation oddsMissed