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Red113
647936.7
641342.6
998824.1
Blue117
240342.0
248639.5
999619.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10599708090110120130140150113117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
42.642.7
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End8.4
red by 0.6
42.00.3
41.842.1
Auto11.5
Teleop22.3
End8.3
Second
36.70.1
36.836.9
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End10.5
blue by 2.7
39.50.3
39.239.5
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End10.0
Third
9988
#10
24.10.2
24.124.2
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End6.3
red by 5.0
9996
#14
19.10.5
18.719.2
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End4.7