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Red22
998613.3
999016.3
999619.1
Blue84
998824.1
49840.9
775515.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40750501001502002284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9996
#14
19.12.6
16.513.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 21.9
498
#12
40.90.8
40.040.9
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
9990
#26
16.32.6
15.512.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End5.4
blue by 7.8
9988
#10
24.11.4
16.517.9
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End6.3
Third
9986
#21
13.32.6
13.510.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.6
End5.0
blue by 1.7
7755
#22
15.00.8
14.815.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed