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Red33
775515.0
770316.4
418318.4
Blue86
49840.9
635232.2
999418.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5310101502003386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#25
18.41.3
21.420.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End8.1
blue by 22.6
498
#12
40.90.5
40.940.4
Auto10.2
Teleop23.3
End7.3
Second
7703
#20
16.41.3
15.314.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.4
End4.7
blue by 15.8
32.20.5
32.231.7
Auto10.6
Teleop14.6
End7.3
Third
7755
#22
15.01.3
15.714.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.8
End5.8
blue by 3.7
18.80.8
15.114.3
Auto8.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned