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Red79
248639.5
999418.8
998914.5
Blue39
905913.6
237522.7
318716.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001207939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.8
37.037.9
Auto9.3
Teleop20.2
End10.0
red by 16.8
2375
#24
22.70.9
22.421.6
Auto9.6
Teleop6.8
End6.2
Second
18.81.4
15.316.7
Auto8.1
Teleop4.8
End6.0
red by 2.4
3187
#16
16.40.9
14.413.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End5.4
Third
9989
#17
14.51.4
9.110.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.9
End4.9
red by 0.9
9059
#18
13.60.9
15.314.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed