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Red134
66818.7
265947.1
603656.0
Blue108
49835.9
212242.7
456520.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410150150200134108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.00.2
55.856.0
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 13.3
42.70.2
42.542.7
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
Second
47.10.2
47.047.1
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 11.2
498
#2
35.90.2
35.735.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
Third
668
#26
18.70.2
18.518.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.9
End7.6
blue by 2.0
4565
#21
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6