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Red17
240324.7
31873.6
909116.6
Blue59
49835.9
6021.6
411116.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6464204050601759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#18
24.74.8
26.321.5
Auto10.5
Teleop8.9
End5.4
blue by 11.2
498
#2
35.90.1
24.324.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
Second
9091
#15
16.64.7
16.611.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End8.1
blue by 5.0
60
#16
21.60.1
21.221.1
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.7
Third
3187
#37
3.64.8
17.012.2
Auto1.0
Teleop1.1
End1.6
blue by 13.0
4111
#20
16.50.1
14.414.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned