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Red66
385316.4
266218.2
414628.2
Blue36
692211.0
284018.7
301910.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565640455060656636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#14
28.20.9
21.522.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
red by 9.5
2840
#30
18.71.9
18.616.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
Second
2662
#28
18.20.9
14.315.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End7.5
red by 7.2
6922
#33
11.01.9
12.911.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End5.0
Third
3853
#23
16.40.9
16.817.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End4.7
red by 5.8
3019
#36
10.61.9
21.419.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed