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Red131
247825.4
603656.0
641336.9
Blue86
207328.7
212242.7
909116.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048105015013186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.02.4
48.851.2
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 13.3
42.70.5
37.638.1
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
Second
36.94.0
23.227.3
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 8.2
2073
#11
28.70.8
29.530.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Third
2478
#17
25.44.0
22.726.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.2
End6.2
red by 8.7
9091
#15
16.60.8
11.912.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned