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Red132
603656.0
49835.9
266218.2
Blue88
212242.7
101112.1
413522.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978020406012014016013288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.02.8
49.252.0
Auto12.5
Teleop35.5
End8.0
red by 13.3
42.70.8
41.442.2
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
Second
498
#2
35.92.8
25.728.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 13.2
4135
#19
22.71.3
16.618.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
Third
2662
#28
18.24.7
14.919.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End7.5
red by 6.1
1011
#35
12.11.3
17.919.3
Auto2.2
Teleop8.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
22%Sustainability oddsEarned7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsEarned