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Red126
764528.3
265947.1
441544.3
Blue90
414628.2
411116.5
641336.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109695010015012690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.12.6
35.237.8
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 10.3
36.92.2
29.531.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.6
Second
44.31.6
38.940.5
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
red by 16.2
4146
#14
28.22.2
27.029.2
Auto9.9
Teleop12.3
End6.0
Third
7645
#12
28.32.6
23.325.9
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End6.6
red by 11.7
4111
#20
16.52.2
13.615.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned