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Red100
121226.1
212242.7
641336.9
Blue70
248632.3
266218.2
411116.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135905010015010070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.70.3
44.644.3
Auto11.5
Teleop23.8
End7.4
red by 10.4
32.30.5
29.930.5
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Second
36.90.5
30.730.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 18.7
2662
#28
18.20.8
18.619.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End7.5
Third
1212
#10
26.10.4
24.123.7
Auto10.5
Teleop9.4
End6.2
red by 9.6
4111
#20
16.50.8
13.414.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned