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Red104
265947.1
240324.7
244915.4
Blue84
456520.7
121226.1
441544.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7894406010012014010484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.11.8
42.444.2
Auto12.4
Teleop27.4
End7.4
red by 2.8
44.30.5
42.742.2
Auto13.1
Teleop21.7
End9.5
Second
2403
#18
24.71.7
21.122.8
Auto10.5
Teleop8.9
End5.4
blue by 1.3
1212
#10
26.10.6
23.723.1
Auto10.5
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
2449
#29
15.41.7
11.913.5
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 5.3
4565
#21
20.70.6
19.518.9
Auto7.4
Teleop6.7
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned