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Red105
99120.9
49835.9
284018.7
Blue41
713022.8
692211.0
905917.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686205010015010541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.92.5
31.634.1
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 13.1
7130
#22
22.81.2
22.921.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End5.8
Second
991
#27
20.93.3
15.719.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End6.5
red by 3.4
9059
#24
17.51.6
21.319.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.3
End9.3
Third
2840
#30
18.73.3
15.618.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End5.9
red by 7.7
6922
#33
11.01.6
14.513.0
Auto2.8
Teleop3.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed