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Qual 642023 Arizona East Regional
Red64
244915.4
207328.7
505915.2
Blue36
266218.2
6021.6
775511.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566602040801006436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#11
28.70.9
26.4→27.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
red by 7.1
60
#16
21.62.0
25.2→23.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.6
End5.7
Second
2449
#29
15.40.8
13.5→14.4
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 2.8
2662
#28
18.22.0
20.7→18.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End7.5
Third
5059
#34
15.20.8
13.8→14.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
red by 3.5
7755
#32
11.72.2
14.5→12.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
19%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsMissed