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Qual 662023 Arizona East Regional
Red99
413522.7
641336.9
244340.1
Blue85
301910.6
764528.3
248632.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107660501509985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#7
40.10.3
38.2→38.5
Auto9.8
Teleop24.5
End5.8
red by 7.8
2486
#9
32.31.2
30.4→31.6
Auto9.2
Teleop15.1
End8.0
Second
6413
#8
36.90.3
35.4→35.7
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.6
red by 8.6
7645
#12
28.31.5
26.9→28.4
Auto10.3
Teleop11.4
End6.6
Third
4135
#19
22.70.3
21.6→21.9
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End5.6
red by 12.0
3019
#36
10.61.5
9.6→11.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed52%Activation oddsEarned