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Red79
505915.2
696823.2
49835.9
Blue86
207328.7
121226.1
713022.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions758140601001207986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.90.5
34.735.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End7.8
red by 7.2
2073
#11
28.70.9
27.328.2
Auto9.3
Teleop14.3
End5.2
Second
6968
#25
23.20.6
22.122.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.7
End3.9
blue by 2.9
1212
#10
26.10.8
25.526.3
Auto10.5
Teleop9.4
End6.2
Third
5059
#34
15.20.6
14.615.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.3
End2.1
blue by 7.6
7130
#22
22.80.7
22.323.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.8
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
28%Activation oddsMissed58%Activation oddsMissed