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Red155
55821.0
12560.4
331458.9
Blue170
287736.4
234237.1
115338.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150116050100200250155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#33
60.47.5
67.960.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.3
End8.2
red by 22.2
1153
#26
38.210.2
48.438.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Second
58.98.0
66.858.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
red by 21.8
2342
#22
37.14.6
41.737.1
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
Third
558
#57
21.06.2
27.321.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End3.3
blue by 15.3
2877
#40
36.414.5
50.936.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End4.3