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Red128
19013.8
346760.4
632853.2
Blue114
271341.2
12622.0
279129.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14494050200250300128114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.49.6
70.060.4
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
red by 19.2
2713
#58
41.214.4
55.741.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.4
End6.2
Second
6328
#12
53.27.0
60.353.2
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
red by 23.4
2791
#48
29.816.9
46.729.8
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End2.1
Third
190
#64
13.817.4
31.213.8
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End5.5
blue by 8.2
126
#54
22.08.7
30.822.0
Auto8.7
Teleop9.0
End4.5