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Red149
581340.7
17325.2
46740.6
Blue94
172933.1
279129.8
107339.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10213305015020014994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5813
#19
40.72.7
43.946.6
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End8.0
red by 0.8
1073
#11
39.91.8
42.340.5
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
Second
467
#53
40.62.7
35.638.3
Auto9.2
Teleop24.8
End6.7
red by 7.5
1729
#25
33.11.8
36.034.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Third
173
#50
25.22.7
20.222.9
Auto9.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
blue by 4.6
2791
#48
29.81.8
42.941.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed