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Red135
33331.2
841029.9
12560.4
Blue155
19559.9
331458.9
172933.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133172050100150200250135155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#33
60.40.4
61.761.3
Auto14.1
Teleop36.3
End8.2
red by 0.5
195
#6
59.90.2
62.462.3
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
Second
333
#17
31.20.4
36.436.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
blue by 27.7
58.90.2
62.562.3
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Third
8410
#38
29.90.4
33.332.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End4.8
blue by 3.2
1729
#25
33.10.2
34.234.0
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned