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Red123
23839.5
176849.9
404840.8
Blue103
446736.8
33331.2
404131.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17014150100200250123103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.910.5
49.960.4
Auto11.4
Teleop31.9
End5.5
red by 13.1
4467
#10
36.812.6
36.849.4
Auto7.3
Teleop27.5
End1.5
Second
4048
#31
40.86.0
40.846.7
Auto11.4
Teleop20.2
End9.0
red by 9.6
333
#17
31.213.2
31.244.3
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
Third
238
#34
39.53.3
39.542.9
Auto12.0
Teleop19.5
End8.0
red by 8.4
4041
#21
31.17.6
31.138.7
Auto12.8
Teleop11.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsMissed71%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned