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Red123
234237.1
33331.2
9552.9
Blue107
13136.1
854420.5
17325.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14369050100200123107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
#18
52.90.1
52.852.7
Auto10.1
Teleop31.9
End9.7
red by 16.8
131
#43
36.11.6
30.832.4
Auto8.8
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Second
2342
#22
37.10.1
36.135.9
Auto10.0
Teleop21.5
End6.3
red by 11.9
173
#50
25.21.6
22.223.8
Auto9.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
Third
333
#17
31.20.1
36.136.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.1
End6.3
red by 10.6
8544
#61
20.51.6
20.622.3
Auto7.7
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned