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Red120
208415.8
7846.6
31939.3
Blue134
13839.7
490944.0
105828.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14115950100200250120134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#37
46.66.1
46.652.8
Auto13.4
Teleop23.2
End10.5
red by 2.6
44.012.0
44.056.0
Auto13.1
Teleop23.7
End6.9
Second
319
#8
39.318.9
39.358.2
Auto14.7
Teleop21.2
End3.2
blue by 0.4
138
#29
39.78.4
39.748.1
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Third
2084
#51
15.85.6
15.821.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.7
End6.5
blue by 12.9
1058
#32
28.712.8
28.741.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned