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Red175
693331.0
176849.9
8840.3
Blue156
632853.2
870833.2
346760.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120161050100200250300350175156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.0
49.949.9
Auto11.4
Teleop31.9
End5.5
blue by 10.5
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto15.0
Teleop35.4
End8.7
Second
88
#20
40.30.0
40.340.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End9.1
blue by 12.9
6328
#12
53.20.0
53.253.2
Auto18.9
Teleop25.0
End8.8
Third
6933
#56
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto11.0
Teleop15.8
End3.9
blue by 2.2
8708
#55
33.20.0
33.233.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End7.7