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Red179
19559.9
632435.8
17744.1
Blue138
856731.9
404840.8
173537.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149112050200250300179138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
59.90.0
59.959.9
Auto12.4
Teleop38.5
End7.1
red by 19.1
4048
#31
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto11.4
Teleop20.2
End9.0
Second
177
#59
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto7.5
Teleop29.2
End6.4
red by 6.6
1735
#42
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto9.5
Teleop20.7
End7.0
Third
6324
#35
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto11.9
Teleop18.1
End6.1
red by 4.0
8567
#15
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.2
End5.9