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Red149
237044.3
242323.0
107339.9
Blue134
105828.7
12560.4
331458.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109160050200250149134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#39
44.30.0
44.344.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.3
End6.2
blue by 16.1
125
#33
60.40.0
60.460.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.3
End8.2
Second
1073
#11
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto9.9
Teleop22.6
End7.3
blue by 18.9
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto13.1
Teleop37.3
End7.3
Third
2423
#36
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End4.9
blue by 5.7
1058
#32
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.1
End6.5