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Red175
461344.7
24420.7
35951.5
Blue64
425340.7
918024.7
833818.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12984406010012014016018017564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
51.50.3
50.951.3
Auto13.2
Teleop30.3
End8.1
red by 10.8
40.70.6
41.040.4
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
Second
44.70.3
44.144.4
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End8.7
red by 20.0
24.70.6
25.024.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End8.2
Third
244
#20
20.70.3
20.120.4
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End8.4
red by 2.5
8338
#27
18.20.6
18.517.9
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End6.6