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Red111
425340.7
636423.7
635117.9
Blue7
28810.9
833114.3
24420.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696302040801001201401601117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.71.3
23.124.4
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
red by 20.0
244
#20
20.75.9
19.113.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End8.4
Second
6364
#17
23.71.3
23.024.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.7
End8.7
red by 9.4
8331
#12
14.35.9
16.010.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End4.9
Third
6351
#14
17.91.3
17.919.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
red by 7.0
288
#33
10.95.9
24.718.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned43%Activation oddsMissed