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Qual 142023 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red96
461344.7
833114.3
635117.9
Blue32
768819.4
929217.7
907916.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59602040801009632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#1
44.73.6
28.8→32.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End8.7
red by 25.2
7688
#21
19.42.3
19.1→16.8
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Second
6351
#14
17.93.6
19.2→22.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
red by 0.2
9292
#22
17.72.3
16.6→14.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Third
8331
#12
14.33.6
10.2→13.8
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End4.9
blue by 2.5
9079
#28
16.82.3
17.1→14.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsMissed