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Red31
833818.2
887121.4
713515.1
Blue86
728729.7
635117.9
768819.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555420304050607080903186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.42.2
19.217.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.4
End7.1
blue by 8.3
29.70.7
20.419.7
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End5.9
Second
8338
#27
18.22.2
15.313.1
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End6.6
blue by 1.2
7688
#21
19.40.7
17.416.7
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Third
7135
#25
15.12.2
16.314.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End4.4
blue by 2.8
6351
#14
17.90.7
13.412.7
Auto3.8
Teleop9.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed