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Qual 282023 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red69
442137.3
511813.0
728729.7
Blue53
186830.9
639027.4
77814.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080901006953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4421
#4
37.30.8
30.6→31.3
Auto12.9
Teleop15.5
End8.9
red by 6.4
1868
#9
30.92.2
30.0→27.8
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End6.9
Second
7287
#6
29.70.8
19.7→20.5
Auto12.1
Teleop11.8
End5.9
red by 2.3
6390
#13
27.42.2
24.3→22.1
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End7.4
Third
5118
#30
13.00.8
11.7→12.5
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End5.0
red by 8.6
7781
#35
4.32.2
8.2→6.0
Auto2.7
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed