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Red33
907916.8
719016.2
162212.4
Blue95
425340.7
462725.9
768819.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4379020601001201403395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9079
#28
16.81.3
14.613.2
Auto6.8
Teleop6.6
End3.3
blue by 23.9
40.72.3
30.532.8
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
Second
7190
#16
16.21.3
17.816.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.9
blue by 9.7
25.92.3
22.224.4
Auto11.8
Teleop7.2
End6.8
Third
1622
#34DQ
12.41.3
12.811.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End4.4
blue by 7.0
7688
#21
19.42.3
16.719.0
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
36%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned