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Qual 332023 Canadian Pacific Regional
Red104
599719.1
833923.3
461344.7
Blue50
719016.2
541927.6
639027.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706630405060809010011010450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#1
44.73.8
33.7→37.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End8.7
red by 17.1
5419
#10
27.62.5
23.6→21.1
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End6.2
Second
8339
#19
23.33.8
19.8→23.6
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End3.5
blue by 4.1
6390
#13
27.42.5
22.1→19.7
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End7.4
Third
5997
#11
19.13.8
11.5→15.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End5.0
red by 2.9
7190
#16
16.22.3
16.4→14.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned46%Activation oddsEarned