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Red108
71739.3
425340.7
461344.7
Blue74
162212.4
541927.6
929217.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9444020608012014016010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.72.2
37.539.7
Auto11.5
Teleop24.5
End8.7
red by 17.1
5419
#10
27.62.4
21.123.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End6.2
Second
40.72.2
32.835.0
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
red by 23.0
9292
#22
17.72.2
15.317.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End4.8
Third
7173
#29
9.32.3
11.714.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End2.4
blue by 3.1
1622
#34DQ
12.42.2
11.413.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned