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Red48
35951.5
779619.1
778712.9
Blue41
768819.4
833923.3
541927.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7563020401001201401604841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#2
51.52.9
35.032.2
Auto13.2
Teleop30.3
End8.1
red by 24.0
5419
#10
27.62.2
24.822.6
Auto9.9
Teleop11.4
End6.2
Second
7796
#18
19.12.9
13.710.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End6.6
blue by 4.2
8339
#19
23.32.2
19.016.8
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
7787
#23
12.92.9
20.317.4
Auto1.6
Teleop6.4
End4.8
blue by 6.5
7688
#21
19.42.2
16.814.6
Auto9.0
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed39%Activation oddsMissed