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Red80
442137.3
186830.9
833114.3
Blue55
918024.7
719016.2
833923.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89642040801001208055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.5
34.834.3
Auto12.9
Teleop15.5
End8.9
red by 12.6
24.70.7
25.324.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End8.2
Second
30.90.5
30.930.5
Auto11.0
Teleop13.0
End6.9
red by 7.6
8339
#19
23.30.7
23.422.7
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
8331
#12
14.30.5
14.914.5
Auto5.4
Teleop4.0
End4.9
blue by 1.9
7190
#16
16.20.7
14.313.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsMissed